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Will Trump declare martial law in LA by Friday?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$59.3K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCJun 13, 2025
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds0%
Will Trump declare martial law in LA by Friday?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Jun 13, 2025
- Yes bid / ask
- — / 0.1¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration officially declares martial law in Los Angeles between June 9 and June 13, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Statements suggesting that martial law is being considered, or informal references to the situation as “martial law-like,” will not qualify unless accompanied by an official declaration. A broader declaration of martial law (e.g. statewide or nationwide) will qualify, so long as it includes Los Angeles within its scope. The primary resolution source for this market will be official U.S. government statements however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.