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Will Trump cut military spending?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$230.1K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCDec 31, 2025
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds0%
Will Trump cut military spending?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Dec 31, 2025
- Yes bid / ask
- — / 0.1¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
The 2025 National Defense Authorization Act provides $895.2 billion in FY 2025 funding for national defense (see: https://www.armed-services.senate.gov/imo/media/doc/fy25_ndaa_conference_executive_summary.pdf) This market will resolve to "Yes" if the National Defense Topline budget in the first official budget proposal released by the White House Office of Management and Budget (OMB) for fiscal year 2026 is less than $895.2 billion. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Note that this market resolves solely on the first official budget proposal, regardless of whether the amount is later changed/altered. If the Trump Administration does not propose a defense budget for fiscal year 2026 by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the Trump Administration, specifically the White House OMB or other credible government sources.