
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
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These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that includes a reduction in Medicaid funding or eligibility is passed by both the US House of Representatives and Senate and signed into law by the President by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A reduction in Medicaid refers to a decrease in federal funding or a significant reduction in benefits, as widely reported by a consensus of credible reporting. Temporary or minor administrative changes will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Retrieved 10/3/2026, 11:46:10 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.