
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly claims that the September 10, 2024 debate was "rigged" by September 13, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Trump must say the word "rigged" in reference to the September 10 debate for this market to resolve to "Yes." Any written or verbal usage of the word "rigged" in reference to the debate will count. The resolution source will be public statements from Donald Trump.
Retrieved 10/3/2026, 9:09:33 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.