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Will Trump be disqualified from California's primary ballot?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent Yes, No or pass decision on eligible markets.
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24h volume$0
Total volume$2.9K
Liquidity$0
Event end date · UTCMar 4, 2024
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds0%
Will Trump be disqualified from California's primary ballot?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $236.2
- Deadline · UTC
- Mar 4, 2024
- Yes bid / ask
- 0.0¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
AI research not covered
This market is closed or awaiting resolution.
Check AI research coverageResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially confirmed by the California Secretary of State's Office that Donald Trump has been legally disqualified from being on California's March 2024 primary ballot. Official confirmation may be in the form of a public announcement, press release, or an update on the Secretary of State's official website. In case of such an occurrence before the expiry date, the market will resolve immediately to "Yes". If no such official confirmation is made by the expiry date or if Trump remains listed on the primary ballot, the market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "disqualification" refers specifically to a legal ruling or action taken by the state of California that prevents Trump from being listed on the primary ballot. Voluntary withdrawals or other forms of removal are not considered disqualification.