Will Trump announce TikTok deal by Thursday?

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24h volumeUnavailable

Total volume$81.9K

LiquidityUnavailable

Event end date · UTCOct 30, 2025

Price history

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

ClosedMarket odds0%

Will Trump announce TikTok deal by Thursday?

Yes0%Polymarket estimate

No100%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: Unavailable
Deadline · UTC: Oct 30, 2025
Yes bid / ask: — / 0.1¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump officially announces that a deal for the sale or restructuring of TikTok’s U.S. operations has been finalized by Thursday, October 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only official policy or transaction announcements will qualify. Informal statements, expressions of intent, ongoing negotiations, or reports of progress without a formal announcement of a completed deal will not be considered. Statements such as US treasury secretary Scott Bessent's October 26 claims that “We reached [a deal] in Madrid, and I believe that as of today, all the details are ironed out, and that will be for the two leaders to consummate that transaction” do not constitute an official policy announcement and will not qualify. The resolution source will be official announcements from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.