Will Trump announce a general Tariff on imports on April 2?

Foretrace AI research

Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.

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24h volumeUnavailable

Total volume$79.1K

LiquidityUnavailable

Event end date · UTCApr 2, 2025

Price history

Market probability

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

ClosedMarket odds100%

Will Trump announce a general Tariff on imports on April 2?

Yes100%Polymarket estimate

No0%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: Unavailable
Deadline · UTC: Apr 2, 2025
Yes bid / ask: 99.9¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump or his administration officially announces that the U.S. government will impose a general tariff on imports into the United States on April 2, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A general tariff that includes item or country specific exceptions will still qualify, as long as a policy of a general tariff on imports into the United States is announced. Any tariff which is officially announced within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of if/when the tariff goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.