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Will Trump agree to sell F-35 to Turkey before May?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$17.5K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCApr 30, 2025
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds0%
Will Trump agree to sell F-35 to Turkey before May?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Apr 30, 2025
- Yes bid / ask
- — / 0.1¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump or his administration officially announces that the U.S. will sell F-35 fighter jets to Turkey by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only official policy announcements will qualify. Informal statements, preliminary discussions, expressions of intent without a finalized agreement, announcements contingent on future conditions, or partial policy changes (e.g., resuming talks without committing to a sale) will not be considered sufficient for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source will be official announcements from the Trump administration; however, a consensus from credible reporting may also be used.