
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
See a probability estimate with uncertainty, the evidence for and against it, and a conditional decision at the available price.
The 99th Academy Awards, given by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS), honor the best in film for movies released in the United States between January 1 and December 31, 2026. The nominations for the 99th Academy Awards are scheduled to be announced on January 21, 2027, with the awards ceremony scheduled for March 14, 2027, at the Dolby Theatre in Hollywood, California. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tom Holland receives an Oscar nomination during the official nominations announcement, expected on January 21, 2027. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the nominations are partially announced by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to whether Tom Holland has been nominated up until that point. If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences and the Oscars; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Retrieved 10/3/2026, 11:45:16 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.