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Will TikTok be on the App Store on May 1?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$721K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCMay 1, 2025
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds100%
Will TikTok be on the App Store on May 1?
Yes100%Polymarket estimate
No0%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- May 1, 2025
- Yes bid / ask
- 99.9¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the TikTok iOS app is available for download on the US Apple App Store on May 1, 2025 12:00 PM ET (noon). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the app is inaccessible due to technical issues with the App Store itself, it will still be considered available for download. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Apple and the Apple App Store, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 3:02:48 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.