Will this Layer 2 project launch a token by May 1st, 2022? | Foretrace

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Will this Layer 2 project launch a token by May 1st, 2022?

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24h volume$0

Total volume$59.4K

Liquidity$0

Event end date · UTCMay 1, 2022

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

5 markets

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

Arbitrum by Offchain LabsClosedMarket odds<0.01%

Will Arbitrum have a token by May 1st, 2022?

Yes<0.01%Polymarket estimate

No>99.9%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: $50.3
Deadline · UTC: May 1, 2022
Yes bid / ask: 0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

This is a market on if Arbitrum or Offchain Labs will have a live token related to its ecosystem, technology, chain, or parent company, by May 1st, 2022, 12:00 PM ET. Having a live token in this context can be defined as a deployed-to-mainnet, actively transferrable and/or tradable token that is in some way native or related to the application, protocol, technology, ecosystem, or parent company, and is substantiated by the respective project via website or official social media channels. Empirically speaking, having a live token will be considered fulfilled if official project channels announce the introduction of the token and it is live on mainnet, and swappable and acquirable (i.e. via Uniswap). In the case of a token being announced but not yet transferrable or “live”, that will not satisfy market conditions. If the token is deployed to mainnet (in any form, including some sort of voucher), but is not transferrable, that will also not satisfy market conditions. In the case of ERC20 tokens, if the token is deployed, but there is no existing Uniswap pool for the token, it will be considered not “live” and thus will not satisfy market conditions. For clarity, this market is about fungible tokens, and not NFTs related to a platform. In the case that the token comes in the form of a DAO or DAO-like organizational structure that has governing or controlling power over the underlying tech or protocol, or is otherwise officially related to the project, instead of a traditional fee paying-related token, that will still qualify as launching a token. If Arbitrum or Offchain Labs have a live token by May 1st, 2022, 12:00 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". If the resolution date is reached and the market resolution criteria has not been met, the market will resolve to "No".

zkSync by Matter LabsClosedMarket odds<0.01%

Will zkSync have a token by May 1st, 2022?

Yes<0.01%Polymarket estimate

No>99.9%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: $68
Deadline · UTC: May 1, 2022
Yes bid / ask: 0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

This is a market on if zkSync or Matter Labs will have a live token related to its ecosystem, technology, chain, or parent company, by May 1st, 2022, 12:00 PM ET. Having a live token in this context can be defined as a deployed-to-mainnet, actively transferrable and/or tradable token that is in some way native or related to the application, protocol, technology, ecosystem, or parent company, and is substantiated by the respective project via website or official social media channels. Empirically speaking, having a live token will be considered fulfilled if official project channels announce the introduction of the token and it is live on mainnet, and swappable and acquirable (i.e. via Uniswap). In the case of a token being announced but not yet transferrable or “live”, that will not satisfy market conditions. If the token is deployed to mainnet (in any form, including some sort of voucher), but is not transferrable, that will also not satisfy market conditions. In the case of ERC20 tokens, if the token is deployed, but there is no existing Uniswap pool for the token, it will be considered not “live” and thus will not satisfy market conditions. For clarity, this market is about fungible tokens, and not NFTs related to a platform. In the case that the token comes in the form of a DAO or DAO-like organizational structure that has governing or controlling power over the underlying tech or protocol, or is otherwise officially related to the project, instead of a traditional fee paying-related token, that will still qualify as launching a token. If zkSync or Matter Labs have a live token by May 1st, 2022, 12:00 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". If the resolution date is reached and the market resolution criteria has not been met, the market will resolve to "No".

Resolution source

StarkNet by StarkwareClosedMarket odds<0.01%

Will StarkNet have a token by May 1st, 2022?

Yes<0.01%Polymarket estimate

No>99.9%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: $100
Deadline · UTC: May 1, 2022
Yes bid / ask: 0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

This is a market on if StarkNet or Starkware will have a live token related to its ecosystem, technology, chain, or parent company, by May 1st, 2022, 12:00 PM ET. Having a live token in this context can be defined as a deployed-to-mainnet, actively transferrable and/or tradable token that is in some way native or related to the application, protocol, technology, ecosystem, or parent company, and is substantiated by the respective project via website or official social media channels. Empirically speaking, having a live token will be considered fulfilled if official project channels announce the introduction of the token and it is live on mainnet, and swappable and acquirable (i.e. via Uniswap). In the case of a token being announced but not yet transferrable or “live”, that will not satisfy market conditions. If the token is deployed to mainnet (in any form, including some sort of voucher), but is not transferrable, that will also not satisfy market conditions. In the case of ERC20 tokens, if the token is deployed, but there is no existing Uniswap pool for the token, it will be considered not “live” and thus will not satisfy market conditions. For clarity, this market is about fungible tokens, and not NFTs related to a platform. In the case that the token comes in the form of a DAO or DAO-like organizational structure that has governing or controlling power over the underlying tech or protocol, or is otherwise officially related to the project, instead of a traditional fee paying-related token, that will still qualify as launching a token. If StarkNet or Starkware have a live token by May 1st, 2022, 12:00 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". If the resolution date is reached and the market resolution criteria has not been met, the market will resolve to "No".

Resolution source

OptimismClosedMarket odds<0.01%

Will Optimism have a token by May 1st, 2022?

Yes<0.01%Polymarket estimate

No>99.9%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: $110
Deadline · UTC: May 1, 2022
Yes bid / ask: 0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

This is a market on if Optimism will have a live token related to its ecosystem, technology, chain, or parent company, by May 1st, 2022, 12:00 PM ET. Having a live token in this context can be defined as a deployed-to-mainnet, actively transferrable and/or tradable token that is in some way native or related to the application, protocol, technology, ecosystem, or parent company, and is substantiated by the respective project via website or official social media channels. Empirically speaking, having a live token will be considered fulfilled if official project channels announce the introduction of the token and it is live on mainnet, and swappable and acquirable (i.e. via Uniswap). In the case of a token being announced but not yet transferrable or “live”, that will not satisfy market conditions. If the token is deployed to mainnet (in any form, including some sort of voucher), but is not transferrable, that will also not satisfy market conditions. In the case of ERC20 tokens, if the token is deployed, but there is no existing Uniswap pool for the token, it will be considered not “live” and thus will not satisfy market conditions. For clarity, this market is about fungible tokens, and not NFTs related to a platform. In the case that the token comes in the form of a DAO or DAO-like organizational structure that has governing or controlling power over the underlying tech or protocol, or is otherwise officially related to the project, instead of a traditional fee paying-related token, that will still qualify as launching a token. If Optimism have a live token by May 1st, 2022, 12:00 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". If the resolution date is reached and the market resolution criteria has not been met, the market will resolve to "No".

Resolution source

Layer ZeroClosedMarket odds<0.01%

Will Layer Zero have a token by May 1st, 2022?

Yes<0.01%Polymarket estimate

No>99.9%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: $100
Deadline · UTC: May 1, 2022
Yes bid / ask: 0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

This is a market on if Layer Zero will have a live token related to its ecosystem, technology, chain, or parent company, by May 1st, 2022, 12:00 PM ET. Having a live token in this context can be defined as a deployed-to-mainnet, actively transferrable and/or tradable token that is in some way native or related to the application, protocol, technology, ecosystem, or parent company, and is substantiated by the respective project via website or official social media channels. Empirically speaking, having a live token will be considered fulfilled if official project channels announce the introduction of the token and it is live on mainnet, and swappable and acquirable (i.e. via Uniswap). In the case of a token being announced but not yet transferrable or “live”, that will not satisfy market conditions. If the token is deployed to mainnet (in any form, including some sort of voucher), but is not transferrable, that will also not satisfy market conditions. In the case of ERC20 tokens, if the token is deployed, but there is no existing Uniswap pool for the token, it will be considered not “live” and thus will not satisfy market conditions. For clarity, this market is about fungible tokens, and not NFTs related to a platform. In the case that the token comes in the form of a DAO or DAO-like organizational structure that has governing or controlling power over the underlying tech or protocol, or is otherwise officially related to the project, instead of a traditional fee paying-related token, that will still qualify as launching a token. If Layer Zero have a live token by May 1st, 2022, 12:00 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". If the resolution date is reached and the market resolution criteria has not been met, the market will resolve to "No".

Resolution source