Will there be a Senate vacancy in Pennsylvania by EOY?

Foretrace AI research

Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.

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View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.

24h volume$0

Total volume$5.8K

Liquidity$27.3

Event end date · UTCDec 31, 2023

Price history

Market probability

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

ClosedMarket odds0%

Will there be a Senate vacancy in Pennsylvania by EOY?

Yes0%Polymarket estimate

No100%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: $1.6K
Deadline · UTC: Dec 31, 2023
Yes bid / ask: 0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a vacancy in one or both of the seats for United States Senator from Pennsylvania between February 16 and December 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If a Senator from Pennsylvania announces they are retiring or otherwise resigning from their seat, but it doesn't take effect until after this market's timeframe, it will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". Only an actual vacancy in one or both of the seats for United States Senator from Pennsylvania in effect by the resolution date will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States Senate, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.