Will the Virginia abortion protection amendment pass?

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24h volume$30

Total volume$1.7K

Liquidity$14K

Event end date · UTCNov 4, 2026

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Market probability

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

Accepting ordersMarket odds89.5%

Will the Virginia abortion protection amendment pass?

Yes89.5%Polymarket estimate

No10.5%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: $14K
Deadline · UTC: Nov 4, 2026
Yes bid / ask: 89.0¢ / 90.0¢
Trading fees: Enabled · verify on Polymarket

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Resolution rules

Virginia voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment which, if passed, would establish a constitutional right to reproductive freedom in the state. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Virginia Right to Reproductive Freedom constitutional amendment passes according to Virginia election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If this constitutional amendment is removed from the November 3, 2026 ballot in Virginia, this market will resolve immediately to “No.” If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the Commonwealth of Virginia, specifically the Virginia Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/results/).