Loading your workspace…
All markets
Will the US publicly state that Iran was directly involved with the recent attack on Israel in 2023?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volume$0
Total volume$46.9K
Liquidity$0
Event end date · UTCDec 31, 2023
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds0%
Will the US publicly state that Iran was directly involved with the recent attack on Israel in 2023?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $50.6
- Deadline · UTC
- Dec 31, 2023
- Yes bid / ask
- 0.0¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. officially states that Iran was directly involved, beyond just funding organizations and proxies, in the recent attack on Israel on or before December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. The statement must be made by a U.S. government official and should be verifiable through reliable sources, such as verified news outlets or official U.S. government statements. If no such statement is made by the stated date, the market will resolve to "No". If a statement is made before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.