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Will the US House Censure any member by October 31?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$3.8K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCNov 1, 2026
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
Will the US House Censure any member by October 31?ClosedMarket odds100%
Will the US House Censure any member by October 31?
Yes100%Polymarket estimate
No0%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Nov 1, 2026
- Yes bid / ask
- 99.9¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Enabled · verify on Polymarket
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a resolution of Censure against any individual who is a sitting member of the House at the time such resolution is passed, between market creation and October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying resolution must explicitly censure the member — resolutions of reprimand, condemnation, or disapproval that do not censure will not qualify. The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., https://www.congress.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.