
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Suez Canal is officially closed to maritime traffic for any duration of time at any point during the year 2023 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The closure refers to a complete halt of maritime traffic, not partial or one-way restrictions. The market can resolve early if an official closure of the Suez Canal is announced and confirmed prior to the end of 2023. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Suez Canal Authority and/or the government of Egypt, however a consensus of credible sources may also be used.
Retrieved 10/3/2026, 8:13:23 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.