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Will the State of the Union address be delayed?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$80.9K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCFeb 24, 2026
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds0%
Will the State of the Union address be delayed?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Feb 24, 2026
- Yes bid / ask
- — / 0.1¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the State of the Union address is delayed beyond or otherwise does not take place by February 24, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement from the White House, the Speaker of the House, or congressional leadership confirming postponement or cancellation beyond this date will qualify. The resolution source for this market will be information from the United States government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 2:19:04 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.