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Will the Poloniex hacker return the stolen funds by Nov 17?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volume$0
Total volume$34.1K
Liquidity$0
Event end date · UTCNov 17, 2023
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds0%
Will the Poloniex hacker return the stolen funds by Nov 17?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $0
- Deadline · UTC
- Nov 17, 2023
- Yes bid / ask
- 0.0¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
On November 10, 2023, Poloniex was hacked for around $120 million dollars. Shortly afterwards Justin Sun tweeted to the unknown hacker that they have 7 days to return the funds before engaging law enforcement (see https://twitter.com/justinsuntron/status/1722951876986204259). This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least 80% of the money hacked from Poloniex is returned by Nov 17, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Poloniex and Justin Sun, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.