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Will the next elected US president be a woman?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Choose a market to analyze 1 open question · Evidence required
24h volume$35.9
Total volume$14.6K
Liquidity$23.9K
Event end date · UTCNov 8, 2028
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
Accepting ordersMarket odds15.5%
Will the next elected US president be a woman?
Yes15.5%Polymarket estimate
No84.5%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $23.9K
- Deadline · UTC
- Nov 8, 2028
- Yes bid / ask
- 14.0¢ / 17.0¢
- Trading fees
- Enabled · verify on Polymarket
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Resolution rules
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution sources for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.