Loading your workspace…
All markets
Will 'The Marvels' flop?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volume$0
Total volume$40.3K
Liquidity$0
Event end date · UTCDec 31, 2023
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds100%
Will 'The Marvels' flop?
Yes100%Polymarket estimate
No0%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $0
- Deadline · UTC
- Dec 31, 2023
- Yes bid / ask
- 0.0¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
In this market, a "Flop" is defined as 'The Marvels' earning less than its $220m budget (as reported by Forbes in September 2023). The “Domestic Daily” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt10676048/ will be used to resolve this market, specifically the "To Date" column. This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'The Marvels' grosses less than $220,000,000 domestically through December 31, 2023. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If any finalized numbers in the "To Date" column (for dates December 31, 2023 and before) show a value of $220 million or more, this market will resolve immediately to "No". This market may only resolve to "Yes" once the December 31, 2023 "To Date" number is finalized, or if December 31, 2023 date remains unavailable, another credible source will be chosen to resolve the market.