Loading your workspace…
All markets
Will the IRS collect more taxes this year than last?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$77.1K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCDec 31, 2025
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds100%
Will the IRS collect more taxes this year than last?
Yes100%Polymarket estimate
No0%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Dec 31, 2025
- Yes bid / ask
- 99.9¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
The IRS collected $4,694,335,168,000 in tax revenue in FY 2023 (see: https://www.irs.gov/statistics/soi-tax-stats-irs-data-book) This market will resolve to ”Yes” if the IRS collects more than $4,694,335,168,000 for FY 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the IRS does not release it's Data Book for 2024 by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the first official release of the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) Data Book.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 9:43:06 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.