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Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last the full 4 days?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volume$0
Total volume$34.6K
Liquidity$0
Event end date · UTCDec 31, 2023
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds100%
Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last the full 4 days?
Yes100%Polymarket estimate
No0%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $0
- Deadline · UTC
- Dec 31, 2023
- Yes bid / ask
- 0.0¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first ceasefire between Hamas and Israel pursuant to a hostage/prisoner exchange deal after the creation of this market lasts at least 4 full days (96 consecutive hours). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such ceasefire starts by December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM IST (Israeli Standard Time), this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible information and reporting.
Retrieved 10/3/2026, 10:48:10 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.