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Will the Gävle Goat be destroyed in 2023?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volume$0
Total volume$29.1K
Liquidity$0
Event end date · UTCDec 31, 2023
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds0%
Will the Gävle Goat be destroyed in 2023?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $0
- Deadline · UTC
- Dec 31, 2023
- Yes bid / ask
- 0.0¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Gävle Goat, a traditional Christmas display erected annually in Gävle, Sweden, is set on fire or destroyed before 11:59 PM (ET) on December 31, 2023. The destruction or damage must be confirmed by an official Gävle Goat social media account, the City of Gävle's official website, or a reputable news source. Any burning of the main body of the Gävle Goat will result in this market resolving to "Yes". Any non-fire damage must result in the destruction of the Gävle Goat for this market to resolve to "Yes".
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 4:17:41 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.