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Green Party (MDG) wins 4% or more of vote in Norwegian election?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$37.6K
Liquidity$0
Event end date · UTCSep 8, 2025
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds100%
Green Party (MDG) wins 4% or more of vote in Norwegian election?
Yes100%Polymarket estimate
No0%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $0
- Deadline · UTC
- Sep 8, 2025
- Yes bid / ask
- 99.9¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Norway on September 8, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Green Party (MDG) wins 4% or more of all valid votes in the next Norwegian parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of votes won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. If voting in the next Norwegian parliamentary election does not occur by February 28, 2026, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Norway's government (e.g. via https://www.valg.no/en/).