Will the first House vote on CR funding bill pass?

Foretrace AI research

Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.

Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.

View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.

24h volumeUnavailable

Total volume$26.2K

LiquidityUnavailable

Event end date · UTCDec 20, 2024

Price history

Market probability

Loading price history…

Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

ClosedMarket odds0%

Will the first House vote on CR funding bill pass?

Yes0%Polymarket estimate

No100%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: Unavailable
Deadline · UTC: Dec 20, 2024
Yes bid / ask: — / 0.2¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

A continuing resolution (CR) is under ongoing consideration by the US House. The passage of this resolution would avert a government shutdown. You can read more about it here: https://www.politico.com/live-updates/2024/12/18/congress/congress-pay-raise-increase-00195089). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the continuing resolution (CR) passes the first time it comes up for a vote in the US House of Representatives. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no vote takes place on the CR by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based solely on the first vote of the CR. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.