FDA revokes polio vaccine in Trump's first 100 days?

Foretrace AI research

Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.

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24h volumeUnavailable

Total volume$43.7K

LiquidityUnavailable

Event end date · UTCApr 29, 2025

Price history

Market probability

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

ClosedMarket odds0%

FDA revokes polio vaccine in Trump's first 100 days?

Yes0%Polymarket estimate

No100%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: Unavailable
Deadline · UTC: Apr 29, 2025
Yes bid / ask: — / 0.4¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) withdraws or suspends its approval from any polio vaccine currently on the market between December 12, 2024, and April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If FDA approval is withdrawn or suspended for any specific population group (e.g. infants, toddlers, children), it will count toward a "Yes" resolution. For the purposes of this market an announcement by the FDA that it will withdraw or suspend its approval will count toward a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when it goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the FDA and the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.