Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to Midnight in 2024?

Foretrace AI research

Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.

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24h volume$0

Total volume$19.1K

Liquidity$0

Event end date · UTCJan 31, 2024

Price history

Market probability

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

ClosedMarket odds0%

Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to Midnight in 2024?

Yes0%Polymarket estimate

No100%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: $0
Deadline · UTC: Jan 31, 2024
Yes bid / ask: 0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

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Resolution rules

The Doomsday Clock is a symbolic clock face that represents the likelihood of a man-made global catastrophe, maintained since 1947 by the members of the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists. The closer the clock is set to midnight, the closer the scientists believe the world is to global disaster. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Doomsday Clock is set closer to midnight (i.e. closer than 90 seconds to midnight, see https://thebulletin.org/doomsday-clock/#nav_menu) during the yearly meeting of the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists scheduled for January 2024 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the Doomsday Clock setting is delayed this market's resolution may be delayed until the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists' 2024 release is published. If no release is published by December 31, 2024 ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be information released by the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists.