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Will the Blue Origin New Glenn rocket explode during November 13 launch?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$7.1K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCNov 13, 2025
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds0%
Will the Blue Origin New Glenn rocket explode during November 13 launch?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Nov 13, 2025
- Yes bid / ask
- — / 0.1¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the New Glenn rocket explodes at any point during the launch from the start of fueling operations to 60 minutes after liftoff. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An explosion is defined as a violent and catastrophic event resulting in the destruction of all or part of the vehicle, regardless of intent or context (e.g., a planned termination event would also count). If the launch has not occurred by November 13, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by Blue Origin (https://x.com/blueorigin/status/1988795793000501452), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.