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Associated Press declares winner before 3am on Nov 6?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$117.6K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCNov 6, 2024
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds0%
Associated Press declares winner before 3am on Nov 6?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Nov 6, 2024
- Yes bid / ask
- — / 0.1¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Associated Press declares a winner in the 2024 US Presidential election by November 6, 2024, 2:59:59 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution of this market will be based on the first official declaration of a winner made by AP, regardless of whether they later retract that declaration. The resolution source for this market will be official information from AP.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 3:36:17 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.