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Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Choose a market to analyze 1 open question · Evidence required
24h volume$5.9K
Total volume$515.8K
Liquidity$81.1K
Event end date · UTCJan 1, 2027
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
Accepting ordersMarket odds98.3%
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
Yes98.3%Polymarket estimate
No1.8%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $84.9K
- Deadline · UTC
- Jan 1, 2027
- Yes bid / ask
- 98.2¢ / 98.3¢
- Trading fees
- Enabled · verify on Polymarket
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Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 2026 US Midterm Elections happen on November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 5:26:37 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.