Will Thailand capture Preah Vihear temple by Dec 31?

Foretrace AI research

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24h volumeUnavailable

Total volume$72K

LiquidityUnavailable

Event end date · UTCDec 31, 2025

Price history

Market probability

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

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ClosedMarket odds0%

Will Thailand capture Preah Vihear temple by Dec 31?

Yes0%Polymarket estimate

No100%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: Unavailable
Deadline · UTC: Dec 31, 2025
Yes bid / ask: — / 0.1¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Thailand announces it has attained, or otherwise attains control of the Preah Vihear temple complex in Cambodia (https://maps.app.goo.gl/rCd3ghfaZxQdPW7MA) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Thailand announces it has control of the temple complex, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of contradictory reporting. If Thailand comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution. Once Thailand captures the temple, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be announcements made by Thailand and Cambodia, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.