Will Talarico and Paxton debate live by October 15?

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Choose a market to analyze 1 open question · Evidence required

24h volumeUnavailable

Total volume$181.1

Liquidity$10.3K

Event end date · UTCOct 16, 2026

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Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

Will Talarico and Paxton debate live by October 15?Accepting ordersMarket odds15.5%

Will Talarico and Paxton debate live by October 15?

Yes15.5%Polymarket estimate

No84.5%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: $10.3K
Deadline · UTC: Oct 16, 2026
Yes bid / ask: 15.0¢ / 16.0¢
Trading fees: Enabled · verify on Polymarket

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Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if both James Talarico and Ken Paxton participate in a televised or live-streamed debate or candidate forum between market creation and October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, both listed individuals must be present, either on stage or in a virtual forum, and both must respond to at least one question while the other is present. Virtual live participation will qualify. Prerecorded appearances will not qualify. A candidate forum in which both candidates participate at different times will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be footage of the debate; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.