Will Spotify reach 1 billion total users in 2026?

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24h volumeUnavailable

Total volume$224.8

Liquidity$295.7

Event end date · UTCMar 1, 2027

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Polymarket · UTC

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Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

Will Spotify reach 1 billion total users in 2026?Accepting ordersMarket odds4%

Will Spotify reach 1 billion total users in 2026?

Yes4%Polymarket estimate

No96%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: $295.7
Deadline · UTC: Mar 1, 2027
Yes bid / ask: 3.0¢ / 5.0¢
Trading fees: Enabled · verify on Polymarket

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Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Spotify officially reports 1 billion or more Total Monthly Active Users in its Q4 2026 earnings report. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For the purposes of this market, the 1 billion figure must be explicitly reflected in the "Total Monthly Active Users (MAUs)" figure in Spotify's official Q4 2026 earnings report. This includes both free (ad-supported) and paid (premium) users combined. Analyst estimates, third-party projections, or figures from any other reporting period will not count. If Spotify's Q4 2026 earnings report has not been officially published by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be Spotify's official investor relations communications (https://investors.spotify.com). This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.