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Will SpaceX's Starship launch before March?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent Yes, No or pass decision on eligible markets.
View a sample AI report This event is outside current AI coverage.
24h volume$0
Total volume$110.3K
Liquidity$0
Event end date · UTCFeb 29, 2024
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds0%
Will SpaceX's Starship launch before March?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $0
- Deadline · UTC
- Feb 29, 2024
- Yes bid / ask
- 0.0¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
AI research not covered
This market is closed or awaiting resolution.
Check AI research coverageResolution rules
If any Starship successfully launches from its launchpad between December 26, 2023, and February 29, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
Retrieved 10/3/2026, 6:54:07 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.