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Sotomayor steps down from Supreme Court before inauguration?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$482.6K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCJan 19, 2025
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds0%
Sotomayor steps down from Supreme Court before inauguration?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Jan 19, 2025
- Yes bid / ask
- — / 0.1¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Justice Sonia Sotomayor formally announces her retirement from the U.S. Supreme Court by January 19, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." An announcement from Sotomayor will qualify regardless of whether her retirement has gone into effect by this market's end date. The resolution source will be public statements from Sonia Sotomayor, one of her official representatives, and/or the government of the United States.
Retrieved 10/3/2026, 9:28:26 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.