
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Solana Network experiences downtime for 30 minutes or longer between February 6, 12:00 PM ET, and February 29, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If an outage starts before the end of this market's timeframe and extends past it, this market will resolve to "Yes" (e.g. if on February 29, 2024, at 11:45 PM ET an outage starts and lasts beyond March 1, 2024, 12:15 AM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes"). Downtime must occur for at least 30 minutes and be widely reported by a consensus of credible reporting. Sources such as https://solana.fm/blocks?cluster=mainnet-alpha, https://status.solana.com/uptime?page=5 and https://dune.com/dsaber/solana-network-health-report may additionally be considered.
Retrieved 10/3/2026, 10:27:56 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.