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Will Sinema announce she's running for re-election?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent Yes, No or pass decision on eligible markets.
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24h volume$0
Total volume$67.7K
Liquidity$0
Event end date · UTCApr 8, 2024
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Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds0%
Will Sinema announce she's running for re-election?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $0
- Deadline · UTC
- Apr 8, 2024
- Yes bid / ask
- 0.0¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
AI research not covered
This market is closed or awaiting resolution.
Check AI research coverageResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kyrsten Sinema (I-AZ) announces that she is running for reelection as Senator from Arizona in 2024 by the filing deadline, April 8, 2024, 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by Kyrsten Sinema will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether she actually filed to run for Senator from Arizona, or whether she actually files to run for senator in the future. If Sinema announces she definitively will not run for reelection, this market may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Kyrsten Sinema (ex: via speech, social media, etc.) or her legal representation, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.