Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?

Foretrace AI research

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24h volumeUnavailable

Total volume$2.4M

LiquidityUnavailable

Event end date · UTCFeb 8, 2026

Price history

Market probability

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

ClosedMarket odds100%

Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?

Yes100%Polymarket estimate

No0%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: Unavailable
Deadline · UTC: Feb 8, 2026
Yes bid / ask: 99.9¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

Second-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on February 8, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if António José Seguro receives the highest number of valid votes in the second round of this election in each electoral district. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50. For the purpose of this market, all of Portugal's districts include Aveiro, Azores, Beja, Braga, Bragança, Castelo Branco, Coimbra, Évora, Faro, Guarda, Leiria, Lisbon, Madeira, Portalegre, Porto, Santarém, Setúbal, Viana do Castelo, Vila Real, and Viseu. Overseas or foreign (estrangeiro) results will not be included. This market will resolve based on the result of the second round of this election of all Portuguese electoral Districts, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, such as on the Website of the Portuguese Ministry of Internal Administration (Ministério da Administração Interna) (https://www.presidenciais2026.mai.gov.pt/resultados/territorio-nacional).