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Will Scott Bessent throw a punch?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$13.3K
Liquidity$0
Event end date · UTCDec 31, 2025
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds0%
Will Scott Bessent throw a punch?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $0
- Deadline · UTC
- Dec 31, 2025
- Yes bid / ask
- — / 0.1¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Scott Bessent hits any individual between September 8, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. A “hit” means a physical strike such as a punch or slap that makes contact. Shoves, pushes, grabs, or other non-striking altercations do not count. The incident must both occur and be confirmed by the end date. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 4:02:23 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.