
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksRonaldo is scheduled to release a video with MrBeast on November 21 at 9:00 AM ET (see: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aDF_ESN80r8). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the youtube video gets over 30,000,000 views within 24 hours of being posted on YouTube. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the video is deleted during the first 24 hours before reaching 30,000,000 views, the market will resolve "No". If Ronald does not post a YouTube video with MrBeast by November 22, 2024, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No". .
Retrieved 10/3/2026, 9:10:40 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.