RFK Jr. wins a state?

Foretrace AI research

Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.

Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.

View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.

24h volumeUnavailable

Total volume$378.9K

LiquidityUnavailable

Event end date · UTCNov 5, 2024

Price history

Market probability

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

ClosedMarket odds0%

RFK Jr. wins a state?

Yes0%Polymarket estimate

No100%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: Unavailable
Deadline · UTC: Nov 5, 2024
Yes bid / ask: — / 0.2¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. wins the popular vote in any state in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only statewide popular vote results will be considered. Washington D.C., territories and individual congressional district electors will not count towards the resolution of this market. This market may resolve immediately if at least one state has been called for Robert F. Kennedy Jr. for President by the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC or if all states have been called by the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. If all three sources haven’t called the race for all states for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.