Will Pakistan strike Iran by Saturday?

Foretrace AI research

Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.

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View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.

24h volume$0

Total volume$18.9K

Liquidity$0

Event end date · UTCJan 20, 2024

Price history

Market probability

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

ClosedMarket odds100%

Will Pakistan strike Iran by Saturday?

Yes100%Polymarket estimate

No0%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: $0
Deadline · UTC: Jan 20, 2024
Yes bid / ask: 0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pakistan initiates a military attack on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory between January 16, 12:00 PM ET, and January 20, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "military attack" is any use of force executed by Pakistan on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory (e.g. if an Islamic Revolutionary Guard weapons depot on Iranian soil is subject to a Pakistani missile strike, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Pakistani federal government or a consensus of credible reporting. This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, or ground invasions. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count. Pakistan striking an unmanned aerial vehicle or projectile over Iranian territory in a defensive capacity will NOT count toward a "Yes" resolution.