Will Orbán flip Magyar for Next Hungary PM by Jan 31?

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24h volumeUnavailable

Total volume$13.8K

LiquidityUnavailable

Event end date · UTCJan 31, 2026

Price history

Market probability

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

ClosedMarket odds0%

Will Orbán flip Magyar for Next Hungary PM by Jan 31?

Yes0%Polymarket estimate

No100%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: Unavailable
Deadline · UTC: Jan 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask: — / 0.1¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, between Viktor Orbán and Péter Magyar, Viktor Orbán becomes the favorite in the "Next Prime Minister of Hungary" market (https://polymarket.com/event/next-prime-minister-of-hungary) for any four-hour period ending by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Viktor Orbán will be considered to have become the favorite for any four-hour period if he is ahead of Péter Magyar in more individual minutes than Péter Magyar is ahead of Viktor Orbán during a qualifying time period. A tie in the number of minutes will not suffice. If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the "Next Prime Minister of Hungary" market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/will-viktor-orbn-flip-pter-magyar-for-next-prime-minister-of-hungary or through the “Get Resolution” tab with the time set to show the four-hour period window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.