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Will OpenAI release GPT-4.5 before April?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$22K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCMar 31, 2024
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds0%
Will OpenAI release GPT-4.5 before April?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Mar 31, 2024
- Yes bid / ask
- 0.0¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI makes GPT-4.5 available to users as a generally available public release (including any beta or test versions) by March 31, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. GPT-4.5 refers to a product that is explicitly named GPT-4.5, or is a successor to GPT-4 in the way that GPT-3.5 was a successor to GPT-3. Closed beta will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." The primary resolution source for this market will be the official OpenAI website (https://openai.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 2:46:54 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.