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Will OpenAI buy X before July?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$99.8K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCJun 30, 2025
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds0%
Will OpenAI buy X before July?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Jun 30, 2025
- Yes bid / ask
- — / 0.2¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
On February 10, Sam Altman posted "no thank you but we will buy twitter for $9.74 billion if you want" (see: https://x.com/sama/status/1889059531625464090). This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that X (formerly Twitter) will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with OpenAI by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A merger in which X subsumes/acquires OpenAI will not qualify. An formal announcement of an agreement will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Elon Musk, OpenAI or X, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.