Will OPEC hike production by next meeting?

Foretrace AI research

Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.

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24h volumeUnavailable

Total volume$12.6K

LiquidityUnavailable

Event end date · UTCSep 7, 2025

Price history

Market probability

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

Will OPEC hike production by next meeting?ClosedMarket odds100%

Will OPEC hike production by next meeting?

Yes100%Polymarket estimate

No0%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: Unavailable
Deadline · UTC: Sep 7, 2025
Yes bid / ask: 99.9¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OPEC or OPEC+ officially announces a new group-level crude oil production hike that is additional to all production hikes publicly agreed to by or on the time the September 2025 OPEC+ meeting release is published. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The next OPEC+ meeting where production levels are to be set is scheduled to take place on September 7 (https://www.opec.org/pr-detail/1518572-03-august-2025.html). If that September 7, 2025 ET meeting passes, the release is published, and no rate hike occurs, this market will resolve to "No". If no release is published by the time of the next OPEC+ meeting, this market will resolve to "No". A "new group-level crude oil production hike" means an increase in crude oil production that is clearly presented as a new, collective action by OPEC or OPEC+ as a whole, not just an extension, reaffirmation, technical adjustment, or voluntary action by individual members or subgroups. Conditional hikes only count if the group explicitly agrees to reduce production and specifies the conditions and volume in the September 2025 announcement. The primary resolution source will be official OPEC or OPEC+ communications, however a clear consensus of credible reporting will also be used.