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Will Obama congratulate Mamdani by Friday?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$9.8K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCJun 28, 2025
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds0%
Will Obama congratulate Mamdani by Friday?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Jun 28, 2025
- Yes bid / ask
- — / 0.1¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Barack Obama publicly congratulates Zohran Mamdani by June 27, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A congratulatory message must clearly reference Mamdani, and express congratulations. Only announcements made directly by Barack Obama himself, or posts from Obama's official social media accounts will qualify. The resolution source will be official announcements from Obama, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 1:35:10 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.