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Will Nikki Haley or Ron DeSantis drop out first?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volume$0
Total volume$52.3K
Liquidity$0
Event end date · UTCNov 5, 2024
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds0%
Will Nikki Haley or Ron DeSantis drop out first?
Haley0%Polymarket estimate
DeSantis100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $0
- Deadline · UTC
- Nov 5, 2024
- Haley bid / ask
- 0.0¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Haley" if Nikki Haley drops out of the 2024 US presidential election before Ron DeSantis. This market will resolve to "DeSantis" if Ron DeSantis drops out of the 2024 US presidential election before Nikki Haley. If neither drops out at any point before the 2024 election day, this market will resolve to "50-50". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from this candidate or their official/legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 1:42:06 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.