Loading your workspace…
All markets
Will Nigel Farage win election to UK parliament?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$326.3K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCJul 4, 2024
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds100%
Will Nigel Farage win election to UK parliament?
Yes100%Polymarket estimate
No0%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Jul 4, 2024
- Yes bid / ask
- 0.0¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
After saying he would not, Nigel Farage announced plans to run with Reform UK in the 2024 UK general election scheduled for July 4. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nigel Farage is elected to the House of Commons in the 2024 UK general election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UK Government, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 4:17:55 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.