
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent Yes, No or pass decision on eligible markets.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed or awaiting resolution.
Check AI research coverageThis market will resolve to "Yes" if New Hampshire holds the first US Democratic primary for the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Caucuses, conventions, and "beauty contest" primaries where no delegates will be selected or awarded are not considered for this market. Absentee, mail-in or other options that may be available prior to the date of the primary election will not be considered for this market. If NH and another state hold the first primary election on the same calendar day, this market will still resolve to "Yes." The resolution source for this market is official information from the New Hampshire Democratic Party and a consensus of credible reporting.
Retrieved 10/3/2026, 6:59:24 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.